Third Quarter 10 Year Comparison

Happy Fall!  Every year seems to move faster than the last. This year I celebrated 11 years as a Realtor. Considering this, I thought it might be interesting to compare today’s real estate market with the market ten years ago. The graph below compares statistics for the 3^rd Quarter of 2013 to the 3rd Quarter of 2023.

It is no surprise the median sales price for homes in Flagstaff has increased by 39%. The mortgage interest rate in October of 2013 was 4.39% for a 30-year fixed. On Monday, the mortgage interest rate for 30-year fixed rose to 8.0%. This is the highest we’ve seen since 2000. You might be asking yourself if we are in another real estate bubble. Although it’s not reflected in the graph above, the months of inventory and the number of unsold listings skyrocketed in 2007-2008. This was more dominant in larger, metropolitan markets such as Phoenix and Las Vegas. The number of unsold listings and the months of supply have both decreased from 2013 to 2023. It is also important to note that the percentage of cash sales has also increased, demonstrating the strength of investors and second-home buyers.

While some of these stats might seem depressing, there is hope. Mortgage interest rates fluctuate. If you buy a home with a higher than desired rate, you can refinance when rates go down. If rates continue to rise, it’s best to get into a home sooner rather than later so you are not paying a higher rate along with higher prices.  Builders and sellers are beginning to offer point buy-down opportunities for interested, qualified buyers. Our Flagstaff market might have seen fewer sales this year but none of them were distressed properties. (One caveat, the MLS doesn’t show foreclosure sales that happen on the courthouse steps. It only records those properties sold through the MLS. The distressed properties would be classified on the MLS as short-sales.) There have been fewer unsold listings and homes are selling for closer to the list price. Demand for homes is still exceeding the supply we have available in our area. Owning real estate remains the best investment and the greatest indicator of generational wealth.

I could go on and on but this seems enough for now. If you would like a longer explanation or if you have questions, please let me know. I love to talk about our real estate market! If you know of friends or family who have real estate questions, I would appreciate the referral.

Our office, Realty Executives of Flagstaff, is once again competing in Best of Flag. It would be so appreciated if you would vote for us in the Real Estate category. You can text 654 to 928-770-6559. You can vote once daily through October 31.